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Topic: A Car Guy's Take on Global Warming. (Read 4824 times) previous topic - next topic

A Car Guy's Take on Global Warming.

Reply #15
Quote from: Cougar5.0;209996
I have no idea why the new Mustangs weigh as much as my 20+ year old Cougar, but clearly they're not trying very hard to put new materials & technologies to work (other than to sell more vehicles to the reptile brained people). Well, unless the concept of peak oil production and the plot below have no meaning:
The new Mustang is quieter, torsionally stiffer, has much more power, bigger wheels/tires, bigger brakes, ABS, traction control, air bags, more crash resistant, etc. All of those positives come with a mass penalty. Engine technology advances have essentially been negated by consumer's want/need to have safe and quiet cars.

The concept of peak oil, or at least Hubbert's concept of peak, is still very much a theory. I think his idea is too simplistic. Once prices rise to a certain amount, unconventional sources will become cost effective. Locations considered environmentally unfriendly will be pursued. I don't see a symmetrical bell curve, rather a slow decline on the far side.

A Car Guy's Take on Global Warming.

Reply #16
Quote from: EricCoolCats;209934
Yeah, well, he got some facts dead wrong in that book too...


I'll know soon enough.....My copy is on it's way;)


Quote from: oldraven
He wasn't trying to argue that Global Warming isn't happening (really, all of page four explains this), just what the causes really are


I guess you refer to this:

Quote from: Witzenburg
If so, what is causing it? The list of potential culprits begins with the Sun and includes water vapor (the major "greenhouse" gas), ozone, bacteria, insects, forest fires and, yes, CO2. But while CO2 in the last half-century has increased 19 percent from 316 to 376 parts per million, it still amounts to less than one three-thousandth of one percent (.000333 percent) of the total atmosphere. And when CO2 was increasing dramatically between 1945 and 1977, says Western Washington University geologist Don J. Easterbrook, the Earth was cooling.


I recently saw a rather good documentary on the Polar Ice caps on the Discovery Channel.  The point of view of some of the scientitsts interviewed was that where the increase in "greenhouse gases" will actually plunge the Earth into another Ice Age.  The temperature will rise at first, melting the Antarctic ice to the point where the underwater temperature transfer will cease. 
The details become complicated and are better explained here:
  http://www.whoi.edu/page.do?pid=12455&tid=282&cid=10046

Me?  I like the idea of direct injection which hopefully will become mainstrem through CAFE.  Perhaps one day, a coversion kit will be available to do a direct injection turbo pushrod 5.0:burnout:
I also wish I had a little more cash in the bank account.  I have a lot of concrete work to do around the house this year.  I've been putting the back off and now the front stoop basically exploded after the monsoon season we just had...I'm residing the front facade as well.  You've all seen the wonderful pink the previous homeowners put up:hick:  Luckily, the back and sides are white.
If I had a little extra scratch I'd be installing solar heat panels....
-- 05 Mustang GT-Whipplecharged !!
--87 5.0 Trick Flow Heads & Intake - Custom Cam - Many other goodies...3100Lbs...Low12's!

A Car Guy's Take on Global Warming.

Reply #17
Quote from: oldraven;210002
He wasn't trying to argue that Global Warming isn't happening ...


Not sure anybody said he was - I certainly didn't make that argument. Is the sun getting hotter? That's news to me. A report on the radio yesterday said that the oceans haven't increased in temperature in the past several years, thus calling into question some of the theories of global warming - so I'm not sure about anything - unlike the bitter fellow that wrote the article who seems to not know what he's talking about.
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A Car Guy's Take on Global Warming.

Reply #18
Quote from: V8Demon;210012
where the increase in "greenhouse gases" will actually plunge the Earth into another Ice Age.


But the question is whether the greenhouse gasses cause that melting or simply a rise in temperature. Everyone is on mass assuming that it is greenhouse gasses. I know they have an effect in urban areas, where they cloud over an area, but the majority of the earth has no smog, and the poles in particular. We had a massive period of Global Warming within our own history, and it was not followed by an Ice Age. There was a major cooling period afterwords, but nothing that will cover half our world in ice or re-establish the land bridges.

Quote from: Cougar5.0
Is the sun getting hotter? That's news to me.


You and I obviously read different news, then. ;)

I agree, the guy has no sense of diplomacy, but he speaks the truth. Much of the 'facts' about Global Warming and it's causes are hardly facts at all. We're getting the results of studies, which always end up supporting a preconceived notion, and theories, not hard proof. In fact, there is an equal amount of studies and theories out there that say the opposite. The media has just decided to ignore or discredit them to keep pushing the big headline trend that has people reading. What sells more magazines; "Global Warming Doomsday Imminent", or "False Alarm, Everything Is Going To Be OK"?

That said, I don't think we need a BS fear tactic to get us to change the way we treat our planet and our own health. Our own dwindling pockets are more than enough reason to drop our fuel usage, and politics is a close second. Global Warming aside, we do need to curb our severe air pollution if only to get rid of acid rain and lung cancer.

A Car Guy's Take on Global Warming.

Reply #19
Quote from: oldraven;210028


That said, I don't think we need a BS fear tactic to get us to change the way we treat our planet and our own health. Our own dwindling pockets are more than enough reason to drop our fuel usage, and politics is a close second. Global Warming aside, we do need to curb our severe air pollution if only to get rid of acid rain and lung cancer.


Isn't that all that needs to be said?

Posting the rantings of some right-wing spewer of broad-brush mindlessness and then seeing him backpedal in another part of the article to acknowledge some "facts" is assinine in my opinion. I have no respect for people who write with a political bent - left or right. He is a non-entitiy to me as his view is distorted by his clear spewing of right-wing "talking points" - same as if he was some left-wing whacko criticizing me for having a race-car as a hobby. "go sit in the corner and eat some granola and calculate the value of pi to the 234242th place - k? Stay out of my hobby"
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A Car Guy's Take on Global Warming.

Reply #20
Quote
What sells more magazines; "Global Warming Doomsday Imminent", or "False Alarm, Everything Is Going To Be OK"?



[News anchorman voice]"What happens when this out of control bus full of 7 year olds careens into a fuel tanker!!!????  FILM AT 11![/News anchorman voice]:hick:


Quote
But the question is whether the greenhouse gasses cause that melting or simply a rise in temperature.

The real question;)

Consider this.  Major snowfall occured in New England in 1816 IN JUNE.  The scientific answer as to why?

Quote
"The Year Without a Summer" occurred in 1816 (known in Jefferson County by the saying "1800-and-froze-to-death"), and was caused by the fall-out from a monstrous volcanic eruption of Mount Tambora on the island of Sambawa in Indonesia the previous year.  A billion cubic yards of dust was ejected over fifteen miles high into the atmosphere and continued far into the stratosphere where winds distributed it all over the world.  This volcanic ash high in the atmosphere caused a shielding of the earth from the heat of the sun (basically what would happen in a "nuclear winter") and much lower temperatures worldwide.  New England saw a heavy and crippling snowfall between June 6 and June 11, 1816 and frost for every month of the year in 1816.  Crops failed in the New England regions as well as the Ohio River Valley, Western Europe, and Canada.  By 1817 most of the dust had settled and conditions had returned to almost-normal.


More stuff here:  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_Without_a_Summer

http://www.centuryinter.net/tjs11/jean/tambora.htm
-- 05 Mustang GT-Whipplecharged !!
--87 5.0 Trick Flow Heads & Intake - Custom Cam - Many other goodies...3100Lbs...Low12's!

A Car Guy's Take on Global Warming.

Reply #21
Did we read the same article?

He never back pedalled. Where did he contradict himself? Uhm... he's trying to point out the 'broad-brush mindlessness' of people swallowing something that is being pushed on us all by mass media, while any other point of view is being completely swept under the rug. You have to read both sides to get the real story. Dismissing anything that looks 'right-wing' to you (I'm a leftie, so you know) means you're playing right into the hands of your particular flavour of media. Al Gore's entire documentary (scare tactic propaganda, depending on how you see it) was left leaning. Did you believe any of that? Well, the majority of the western world has and won't hear anything that even tried to debunk the connection between global warming and CO2 emissions. Otherwise you may as well just have your fingers in your ears singing 'lalalalala'.

A Car Guy's Take on Global Warming.

Reply #22
We'll see ;)
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A Car Guy's Take on Global Warming.

Reply #23
Great discussion.....but.

Where did the Ozone hole go?  Less than 10 countrys actually banned CFCs.  Is the hole full now?

If Global Warming is melting the ice at the north pole why is there more ice at the south pole?

In 1970 the "experts" were predicting an ice age in 30 years.  Did we cause the ice age to not happen?

On the west coast a "La Nino" causes a lot of rain due to the cooler ocean temps.  This last winter was described as a "La Nina" year where the west coast was predicted to be dry.  Why were we wetter this year than the last 5 years?

The answer to all the above is that although scientists are smart people they still cannot predict the weather more than 7 days out.

The old Farmers' Almanac is a better predictor and averages over 80% accuracy 1 year out.  Why don't the scientists use the Almanac?
Armed Forces Car Club
Eastern Sierra Chapter, California
WEB:  armedforcescarclub.com

A Car Guy's Take on Global Warming.

Reply #24
Heh - let's use single examples "down south" - just for fun :evilgrin:

Quote

Cities in peril as Andean glaciers melt

Ice sheets expected to last centuries could disappear in 25 years, threatening water supplies



View from the top ... Two images of the Upsala glacier in Argentina show the retreat of the ice (top: 1928; bottom: 2004).

Andean glaciers are melting so fast that some are expected to disappear within 15-25 years, denying major cities water supplies and putting populations and food supplies at risk in Colombia, Peru, Chile, Venezuela, Ecuador, Argentina and Bolivia.

The Chacaltaya glacier in Bolivia, the source of fresh water for the cities of La Paz and El Alto, is expected to completely melt within 15 years if present trends continue. Mount Huascarán, Peru's most famous mountain, has lost 1,280 hectares (3,163 acres) of ice, around 40% of the area it covered only 30 years ago. The O'Higgins glacier in Chile has shrunk by nine miles in 100 years and Argentina's Upsala glacier is losing 14 metres (46ft) a year.

Although a few glaciers in southern Patagonia are increasing in size, almost all near the tropics are in rapid retreat. Some glaciers in Colombia are now less than 20% of the mass recorded in 1850 and Ecuador could lose half its most important glaciers within 20 years.
...
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2006/aug/29/glaciers.climatechange


Quote
As arctic ice melts, South Pole ice grows

Scientists are puzzled, but the phenomenon seems to fit the latest global-warming models.

For decades, the vast expanse of sea ice that surrounds Antarctica each winter, and all but vanishes each austral summer, has languished as the Rodney Dangerfield of Earth's cryosphere.

Antarctic sea ice has gotten little respect, especially compared with its top-of-the-world cousin, or with the enormous ice sheets on Greenland and the Antarctic continent. The sea ice is hard to reach. It has little direct effect on people. And the Southern Ocean was not a cold-war playground for US and Soviet submarines, which amassed a wealth of information on changes in Arctic sea ice before the era of long-term satellite observations.

But as a research target, southern sea ice's stock appears to be rising.

Over the past 20 years, southern sea ice has expanded, in contrast to the Arctic's decline, and researchers want to understand why. Many climate-model experiments show the Arctic responding more rapidly than Antarctica as global warming kicks in. But after looking at the latest projections from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, "Arctic sea ice is well ahead of the models, and Antarctic sea ice is well behind what the models project," says Stephen Ackley, a polar scientist at the University of Texas, San Antonio.

http://www.csmonitor.com/2008/0110/p14s01-sten.html?page=1


Shrug.
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A Car Guy's Take on Global Warming.

Reply #25
Quote from: tbirdsps;210087
The old Farmers' Almanac is a better predictor and averages over 80% accuracy 1 year out.  Why don't the scientists use the Almanac?


Amen! That book is bourne of some anchient dark art, but it works. My Dad won't go without one.

A Car Guy's Take on Global Warming.

Reply #26
speaking of which,,
time to plant potatoes now.  Our family has for many decades planted potatoes on the first weekend after good friday or at the least, the first dark moon following.  I guess i have some time since the moon is still quite large.

As for global warming,,, all i can say is that science has a lot to learn.

We as a species can do better with our polution and its control.  there is no exuse for the abusive infrustructure that works on old technology.  If the earth goes through cycles, then so be it it but we dont have to be dirty creatures and leave a mess. 

Im watching aircraft take off while waiting for the plane to get to the gate.  I want to compare one polluted take off of a 747 to a car.

wonder how many cars it would take running at the same time to compare to the pollution a 747 makes during take off only.

sick thinking  i know but still,, it makes you wonder based on how many aircraft are taking off in the world each hour.

A Car Guy's Take on Global Warming.

Reply #27
Quote from: Cougar5.0;210020
Is the sun getting hotter? That's news to me.


The surface temperature on Mars has been increasing also.

A Car Guy's Take on Global Warming.

Reply #28
Quote
how many cars it would take running at the same time to compare to the pollution a 747 makes during take off only.

sick thinking i know but still,, it makes you wonder based on how many aircraft are taking off in the world each hour.


80,000 or more pounds of gas for ONE transatlantic flight....Sometimes more depending on the aircraft type and cargo.
6.8 pounds to a gallon of aviation fuel.  The car industry has MANY more emission regulations.  Interesting isn't it?
-- 05 Mustang GT-Whipplecharged !!
--87 5.0 Trick Flow Heads & Intake - Custom Cam - Many other goodies...3100Lbs...Low12's!

A Car Guy's Take on Global Warming.

Reply #29
That is an interesting question. Here is a comparison of "typical" miles per gallon and then passenger miles per gallon:



Quote
According to the 2003 Sierra Club Article: "Flying creates 13 percent of transportation-generated carbon dioxide worldwide, accounting for 3.5 percent of all global warming emissions. Other aviation gases include hydrocarbons, nitrogen oxides, and sulfur dioxide, which contribute to acid rain. EPA estimates that commercial aircraft will generate as much as 10 percent of nitrogen oxide emissions from mobile sources in cities with heavy air traffic by 2010. And in an odd twist, some of today's quieter, more fuel-efficient aircraft engines generate an average of 40 percent more smog-forming nitrogen oxides than the engines they replaced.



Should we also try to clean up aircraft pollution (not very practical if you think about how a turbine operates), or should we remove pollution control from cars because it is unfair that the planes get a "free ride"?
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